[NetBehaviour] It's 2025. Where Do Most People Live?

marc marc.garrett at furtherfield.org
Thu Jul 27 13:56:56 CEST 2006

It's 2025. Where Do Most People Live?

Researchers at the Center for Climate Systems Research (CCSR), a part of 
The Earth Institute, have developed a high-resolution map of projected 
population change for the year 2025.

The innovative map shows a world with large areas of population loss in 
parts of Eastern Europe and Asia, but significant gains elsewhere.

The work, Mapping the Future, is the result of collaboration between 
CCSR, Hunter College and Population Action International (PAI) and was 
released this spring in conjunction with an update of PAI’s Web feature, 
People in the Balance, investigating the relationship between human 
population and critical natural resources.

The map indicates that the greatest increases in population density 
through 2025 are likely to occur in areas of developing countries that 
are already quite densely populated. In addition, the number of people 
living within 60 miles of a coastline is expected to increase by 35 
percent over 1995 population levels, exposing 2.75 billion people 
worldwide to the effects of sea level rise and other coastal threats 
posed by global warming.

The map also projects that much of southern and Eastern Europe and Japan 
will experience significant and wide-spread population decline. 
Surprisingly, the map further suggests small areas of projected 
population decline for many regions in which they might be least 
expected: sub-Saharan Africa, Central and South America, the 
Philippines, Nepal, Turkey, Cambodia, Burma and Indonesia — areas that 
have to date been experiencing rapid-to-modest national population growth.


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